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Published on 22 de junio de 2026 | http://doi.org/10.5867/medwave.2026.05.3191
Mechanistic analysis of COVID-19 cases in Chile during the second half of 2020: an SIR model with dynamic transmission rate
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Summary of parameters.
| Scenario 1 | 0.2000 | 0.257 | 1/7 | 2.73 | 10 | 7.32 | 10049 | 553 |
| Scenario 2 | 0.3700 | 0.810 | 0.426 | 4.62 | 10 | 19.50 | 1467 | 575 |
| Scenario 3 | 0.0714 | 0.108 | 1/14 | 1.06 × 10 −4 | 10 | 1 × 10 −3 | 1 000 000 | 272 |
| Scenario 4 | 0.2000 | 0.257 | 1/7 | - | 10 | 7.32 | 10049 | 837807 |
Abbreviations: RMSE, root mean square error.
Source: Prepared by the authors based on the study results.